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GBP/AUD could Drop on Ballooning Trade Deficit

Last week’s high: AU$1.7412

Last week’s low: AU$1.7221

Surprise Trade Deficit Triggered Australian Dollar Losses

The Pound ended last week trading up against the Australian Dollar, but UK domestic data wasn’t completely supportive.

On the plus side, the UK services PMI showed higher-than-expected growth.

Less helpfully, new car sales in 2017 declined overall. This was the first annual drop in six years and was blamed on falling demand for diesel vehicles.

Australian Dollar traders had a bitterer pill to swallow last week, when the national trade balance printed much lower than expected.

The revised figures for November showed the largest trade deficit in over a year. This was also the first case of two consecutive deficits since October 2016.

The unpleasant surprise alarmed Australian Dollar traders and triggered a late-week AUD slide.

AUD Outlook: Pound could Fall on UK Trade Data

This week may be a relatively quiet one for currency traders, as there are only a small number of data releases ahead.

The main event for Pound traders will be Wednesday’s trade balance, which experts believe will show a widening of the current deficit.

This is considered high-impact news and could cause a Pound to Australian Dollar decline.

On the other hand, the NAB Australian business confidence score is tipped to rise on Wednesday, which may boost the ‘Aussie’.

Key Events

10th January

00:30 AU NAB Business Confidence (December)

09:30 UK Balance of Trade (November)

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To keep up to date with the Australian Dollar, visit the AUD blog in our Currency News section.

James Baxter


Senior Currency Broker
T: 01442 892 062

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