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GBP/USD Reaches Fresh One-Month-High

Yesterday’s high: $1.3353

Yesterday’s low: $1.3283

US Dollar Tumbles as PMI Projections Fall Short

While typically not as influential as ISM’s PMI prints, Markit’s US PMI projections for November were published during Friday’s American session and influenced a late-week US Dollar selloff.

The manufacturing projection dropped from 54.6 to 53.8, below the expected rise to 54.8. Services dropped too, from 55.3 to 54.7. Overall the composite figure slipped from 55.2 to 54.6. Markit’s report noted that prospects for 2018 were mixed, which concerned US Dollar investors.

Despite some weak UK ecostats in recent sessions, market hopes for major progress in Brexit negotiations before the end of the year have kept Sterling buoyed.

USD Outlook: US Growth Data in Focus

More US growth data will be published over the course of the next week, as well as personal income, personal spending and personal consumption figures, which could all affect the near-term Federal Reserve outlook.

Following Markit’s underwhelming US PMIs, if US growth from Q3 or ISM’s manufacturing PMI for November come in below expectations it could worsen market concerns about a possible slowdown in the US economic outlook.

As for Sterling, Brexit news is likely to take focus again, especially if UK and EU negotiators take part in another round of negotiations. Any further signs that Brexit progress could accelerate over the coming month would boost the Pound.

Key Events

27th November

15:00 US New Home Sales

15:30 US Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index

28th November

07:00 UK Nationwide Housing Price

13:30 US Wholesale Inventories

29th November

09:30 UK Bank of England Consumer Credit

13:30 US Growth Rate

15:00 US Fed Yellen Speech

30th November

13:30 US Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index

13:30 US Jobless Claims

14:45 US Chicago PMI

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To keep up to date with the US Dollar, visit the USD blog in our Currency News section.

Arron Morris


Senior Currency Broker
T: 01442 892 065

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